First Verenium Corporation (VRNM), Now Pacific Ethanol Inc (PEIX)

Tags: VRNM
7 Aug 11:30pm
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Yesterday I noted some action in the biofuels area as shares of Verenium Corporation (VRNM) popped on heavy short interest. I was just looking over my quote screen and see that Pacific Ethanol Inc (PEIX) is now active.

Much like Verenium, Pacific Ethanol is a volatile, low-priced equity that once traded at higher levels. In fact, this $2 stock once traded above $40. Shares of PEIX are also heavily shorted too. According to data collected by our Quantified Analysis group, 22% of the stock's float is now sold short.

As discussed yesterday, I usually don't focus on low priced stocks but I think this situation deserves an exception for two reasons. The first is what was alluded to above - both of these stocks used to trade at much higher levels. The second is that there seems to be some increasing interest in the group. Yesterday we saw a large pop in Verenium and today we see a rally (an admittedly smaller one though) in Pacific Ethanol. It is still too early to call this a trend, but I think this is worth monitoring as increasing interest in the group as a whole could suggest buyers starting to come back to the equation.

Just as was the case with VRNM, I think there are two ways to approach PEIX. One is a short-term tactic of trying to ride the short-term momentum. The other is a longer-term approach that involves waiting for confirmation of a turnaround. If there is a going to be a turnaround, the first thing to look for would be signs that the stock can hold a rally. The shares have shown the ability to show quick pops but the gains have usually been reversed quickly. A rally followed by a sideways consolidation (instead of a pullback) would be something to note.


Chart Courtesy of Thomson Financial


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Schaeffer’s Investment Research, founded by Bernie Schaeffer in 1981, is a research-driven provider of investment research and recommendations featuring a unique, time-tested analysis of investor expectations. Schaeffer's contrarian approach, called Expectational Analysis®, focuses on stocks with technical and fundamental trends that run counter to investor expectations. The firm publishes Bernie Schaeffer's Option Advisor, the nation's leading options subscription publication and it's website, www.SchaeffersResearch.com, is recognized as one of the leading information sources for stock and options traders and was cited as the top options website by both Forbes and Barron's.