Revisiting SanDisk Corp, Nokia Corp, and Micron Technology Inc

Tags: SNDK
22 Aug 2:24am
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In mid June we saw sign a potential warning sign developing on SanDisk Corp (SNDK), Nokia Corp (NOK), and Micron Technology, Inc (MU). All three stocks had been weak but were seeing net call accumulations. Since that post, shares of NOK have lost 1% while MU and SNDK have dropped 37% and 38%, respectively.

What drew my attention to this post was that I noticed some heavy call accumulations, once again, on SanDisk. Over the last 5 days, the International Securities Exchange (ISE) buy-to-open data shows there have been 16,186 call purchased. This compares to only 2060 puts. Meanwhile, trading on Nokia Corp, and Micron has been more balanced.

Given the relatively flat action of NOK and the loss in MU, it makes sense to see mixed option trading. In other words, there isn't much of a sentiment read from that data here. However, the continued optimism on SNDK is a bit perplexing when viewed in the context of the chart below.


Chart Courtesy of Thomson Financial

Here we see the steady price erosion that has been taking place since early-2006. The stock has dropped from its highs near 80, to its current price near 15.

Part of the call activity may have been driven by takeover rumors. If the company is truly in play then call options do give you the ability to leverage a pop with limit risk. However, it seems that a takeover may be about the only catalyst that could provide a pop here.


Copyright Schaeffer's Investment Research http://www.schaeffersresearch.com

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Schaeffer’s Investment Research, founded by Bernie Schaeffer in 1981, is a research-driven provider of investment research and recommendations featuring a unique, time-tested analysis of investor expectations. Schaeffer's contrarian approach, called Expectational Analysis®, focuses on stocks with technical and fundamental trends that run counter to investor expectations. The firm publishes Bernie Schaeffer's Option Advisor, the nation's leading options subscription publication and it's website, www.SchaeffersResearch.com, is recognized as one of the leading information sources for stock and options traders and was cited as the top options website by both Forbes and Barron's.