Arch Coal Soars on Strong Earnings, But Can It Overcome Resistance?

Tags: ACI
26 Jul 3:10am
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Arch Coal (ACI) has tacked on more than 9% this afternoon following a stronger-than-expected earnings report. The firm reported that second-quarter net income more than tripled to $113 million, or 78 cents per share, while revenue increased 31% to $785.1 billion. Analysts had predicted earnings of 64 cents on revenue of $737 million.

The shares have skyrocketed today, but the rally has been halted by the security's declining 10-day moving average. The stock's 10-day and 20-day moving averages have ushered the shares lower since July 2, resulting in a loss of roughly 25%. In fact, the stock is poised to suffer its second consecutive close below its 20-week moving average a feat not suffered since September 2007.

While the shares may have put in a strong performance today, they're still not out of the woods, remaining in a intermediate-term downtrend. At the same time, sentiment toward the shares is relatively optimistic. The Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio for ACI is lower than three-quarters of all those taken during the past 52 weeks. Furthermore, Wall Street is quite optimistic, with 8 of the 13 analysts following ACI giving it a "buy" or better. Any potential downgrades should the stock fail to overcome resistance could weigh on the security.


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Schaeffer’s Investment Research, founded by Bernie Schaeffer in 1981, is a research-driven provider of investment research and recommendations featuring a unique, time-tested analysis of investor expectations. Schaeffer's contrarian approach, called Expectational Analysis®, focuses on stocks with technical and fundamental trends that run counter to investor expectations. The firm publishes Bernie Schaeffer's Option Advisor, the nation's leading options subscription publication and it's website, www.SchaeffersResearch.com, is recognized as one of the leading information sources for stock and options traders and was cited as the top options website by both Forbes and Barron's.