LDK Solar Co Ltd, SunPower Corp, First Solar Inc and JA Solar Holdings Co Ltd

Tags: FSLR
19 Dec 3:56am
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I noticed an interesting development on today's short interest scan. A quick glance through the list shows a number of stocks related to alternative energy were up yesterday. A few of the more well-known stocks making the list included - SunPower Corp (SPWRA), First Solar Inc (FSLR), LDK Solar Co Ltd, (LDK), and JA Solar Holdings Co Ltd (JASO).

The stocks in this sector have had more than their fair shares of ups and downs in the last two years, with this year being mostly down. And weak performance this year may help to explain the heavy short interest. To get a feel for what is going on here, I created the table below that shows the daily charts along with total short interest.

First Solar Inc
SunPower Corp
JA Solar Holdings
LDK Solar Co
Price Charts Courtesy of Thomson Financial

As you can see, the price patterns for the last six months are fairly similar. We have a selloff through most of September and October, and then a basing period. The short interest charts show some variations, but an overriding theme is that there has been an increase at some point this year.

A topic raised in yesterday's post on Energy Conversion Devices, Inc. (ENER), another alternative-energy name with heavy short interest, was that sentiment needs to evaluated in the context of price action. Specifically, the contrarian implications of sentiment are strongest when they run counter to the price action. Here we have weak stocks, so the contrarian implications of skepticism need to be tempered.

However, I do think that there is still a reason to watch these stocks. As noted above, these stocks have moved from a downtrend to a sideways base. This is usually the first step in a bottoming process. The question here is whether we start to see some real signs that buyers are interested. If so, that heavy short interest could come into play as potential buying demand.

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Schaeffer’s Investment Research, founded by Bernie Schaeffer in 1981, is a research-driven provider of investment research and recommendations featuring a unique, time-tested analysis of investor expectations. Schaeffer's contrarian approach, called Expectational Analysis®, focuses on stocks with technical and fundamental trends that run counter to investor expectations. The firm publishes Bernie Schaeffer's Option Advisor, the nation's leading options subscription publication and it's website, www.SchaeffersResearch.com, is recognized as one of the leading information sources for stock and options traders and was cited as the top options website by both Forbes and Barron's.