Chesapeake Energy Corp Rolls Over But Analysts Hold On

Tags: CHK
21 Nov 3:44am
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Shares of Chesapeake Energy Corp (CHK) are under pressure today as they drop over 20%. However, today's loss could just be a shot across the bow. Here is what I am looking at.

When looking at Chesapeake I think there are two key pieces of data to be aware of. The first is related to enthusiasm from the Street. According to Zacks, 17 of 23 analysts (74 percent) rank the stock with a "buy" rating. I just looked over the data and the majority of analysts have been in the bull camp throughout the year. The second point is that shares of Chesapeake are down over 50% this year.

In other words, this is another potential "trapped bulls" situation. Analysts have been riding the stock lower and my concern is that they will now be looking to sell.

In past commentaries I have talked about the potential for these bulls to offer downgrades into rallies. Another possibility is a panic sell. A look to the daily chart shows that CHK shares are now in a position to challenge their October lows. A breakdown here could be the catalyst that causes a bull stampede.


Chart Courtesy of Thomson Financial


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Schaeffer’s Investment Research, founded by Bernie Schaeffer in 1981, is a research-driven provider of investment research and recommendations featuring a unique, time-tested analysis of investor expectations. Schaeffer's contrarian approach, called Expectational Analysis®, focuses on stocks with technical and fundamental trends that run counter to investor expectations. The firm publishes Bernie Schaeffer's Option Advisor, the nation's leading options subscription publication and it's website, www.SchaeffersResearch.com, is recognized as one of the leading information sources for stock and options traders and was cited as the top options website by both Forbes and Barron's.